Military expert: Russians want to force Ukrainian army to attack

Markus Reisner is the head of the development department at the Wiener Neustadt Military Academy.
Theresian Military AcademyMarkus Reisner is the head of the development department at the Wiener Neustadt Military Academy.

Sunday, 25.12.2022, 18:06

Even in winter, the Russian war of aggression in Ukraine does not rest. In an interview, military expert Reisner explains what is behind the current tactics of the Russians.

The third phase of the Russian war of aggression in Ukraine continues - and military expert and colonel Markus Reisner explains in an interview with " ntv " the current tactics of the Russian army.

Accordingly, the Russian army is forcing the offensive of the Ukrainian armed forces over the winter in order to be superior to the weakened opponent in the Russian spring offensive.

Military expert Reisner: Russians want to force Ukrainian army to attack
Colonel Reisner, meanwhile, does not expect the Ukrainians or Russians to return to the negotiating table. Both warring parties are of the opinion that they can win more on the battlefield at the moment.

"Russia has begun to dig in. You laid out the Wagner Line and the Surowikin Line. The Russians lay dragon's teeth - that's what these concrete pyramids are called -, barrages and hundreds of thousands of mines there. They want to create a situation in which Ukraine is forced to attack," Reisner explains in an interview.

For him, it is obvious that the Russians want to create situations in which the Ukrainians and their guns are there and attack where the Russians want them: within range of their artillery.

The Russian tactic is a more defensive one this winter, Reisner told ntv. The explanation: "The bottom line is that I tend to assume that Ukraine will try to go further on the offensive over the winter, as far as possible, while Russia will behave more defensively," Reisner concludes.

He continues: "In the spring, when the Ukrainian army is weakened by its own attacks during the winter, as well as by the consequences of Russian attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure, the Russians will try to go on the offensive. By then, the mobilized forces will have arrived en masse at the front."

 

西側の軍事専門家の一人として、オーストリア陸軍の現役参謀大佐である Markus Reisner を時折フォローしています(ドイツ語の情報がほとんどなのでしんどい)が、概ね Scott Ritter や Douglas MacGregor の分析と同じです。彼も、ロシア軍に比べて、ウクライナ軍の損耗が激しいことを問題視しています。

読む・観る・理解を深める】
【ウクライナ情勢を分析する際の留意点①】プーチンはなぜ侵攻に踏み切ったのか?
【ウクライナ情勢を分析する際の留意点②】米国の思惑とウクライナの実情を知る
【ウクライナ情勢を分析する際の留意点③】ウクライナに駐在した元NATO将校の証言
【ウクライナ情勢を分析する際の留意点④】軍事専門家の分析と偏向報道を比べる
【ウクライナ情勢を分析する際の留意点⑤】戦争は2014年からずっと続いている
【恥ずかしい専門家たち:ウクライナ編①】渡部悦和元陸自東部方面総監 ・小泉悠東大専任講師
【恥ずかしい専門家たち:ウクライナ編②】伊藤俊幸元海自呉地方総監・川添博史防衛研主任研究員
【恥ずかしい専門家たち:ウクライナ編③】佐藤正久自民党外交部会長・青山繁晴参議院議員
【恥ずかしい専門家たち:ウクライナ編④】東郷和彦元欧州局長・三浦瑠璃国際政治学者
【恥ずかしい専門家たち:ウクライナ編⑤】廣瀬陽子慶応大教授・中村逸郎筑波大教授
➡ 軍事専門家を探す旅路:ウクライナ情勢を正しく知るために